Israeli President Isaac Herzog is not planning to pardon Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for his corruption trial, instead ...

Japan reroutes oil supply to avoid the Strait of Hormuz due to Iranian disruptions. Crude oil hitting $90 by June priced at ...

Iran's Foreign Minister meets Oman's Sultan to discuss US conflict. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 2.9% YES.

Iran blocks free shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, rejecting a return to normal. Traffic returning to normal by May 15 at ...

Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon after an evacuation warning. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 sits at ...

Iran’s Foreign Minister and Oman’s Sultan met to discuss security in the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz traffic ...

An Israeli raid in southern Lebanon caused injuries during a ceasefire period. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

US-Iran talks have hit another dead end, with recent meetings in Pakistan failing to produce results. The probability of a US ...

Hengli Petrochemical denies trade with Iran amid US sanctions. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 now at 2.9% YES.

Bitcoin rises to $78K with its fourth straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire. Dip to $60K by April 30 at 0% YES.

The strike occurred while the Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire market remains frozen, with odds unchanged and no trades recorded.

Israel deployed Iron Dome and troops to the UAE amid conflict with Iran. Permanent peace deal by April 30 at 1.4% YES.