US crude exports hit a record 5.2 million barrels per day amid the Iran conflict. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 2.6% ...
Tuvalu faces a fuel crisis due to Strait of Hormuz blockades. US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 at 2% YES.
Trump’s cancellation of his envoys’ trip to Iran and Tehran’s refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic ...
US considers nuclear options as tensions with Iran rise. Odds of no diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 13.5% YES, up from 9% ...
Iran refuses US talks, signaling continued deadlock. Agreement to surrender uranium by April 30, 2026 at 1.8% YES.
Iran's Foreign Minister visits Pakistan ahead of Moscow talks. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
US-Iran tensions escalate with predictions of military strikes complicating ceasefire efforts. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, ...
Bitcoin hits $78,000 amid US-Iran tensions, but the chance of reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 is only at 4.9% YES.
DeepSeek delays V4 model release to late April, shifting to Chinese chips. Alibaba has best AI model by April 30 at 15% YES.
Iran missile strikes on GCC states raise oil supply concerns. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 1.2% YES.
Iran conflict pushes pistachio prices to an 8-year high amid Hormuz blockade. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 1.2% YES ...
US-Iran nuclear talks collapsed, increasing nuclear strike risks. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 13.5% YES.
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