Israel deploys Iron Dome to UAE amid Iranian attacks. Iran strike on Israel by April 30, 2026 sits at 100% YES.

Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon complicate diplomacy as Iran negotiates in Oman. Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 ...

Senator Thom Tillis has lifted his blockade of Kevin Warsh’s nomination to head the Federal Reserve. After the Justice ...

Senator Thom Tillis’s readiness to back Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair clears a major hurdle after the ...

Iranian MP warns of possible war and public readiness. US officially declaring war on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

The Trump administration has implemented an oil blockade against Cuba. The Polymarket contract on crude oil hitting an ...

US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall as deadline approaches. Deal by April 30 now at 2.7% YES, while no meeting by June 30 rises ...

Starmer and Trump discussed shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. UK sending warships by April 30, 2026 at 1.5% YES.

Iran is using the ceasefire to rebuild military capacity, with leadership change by April 30 at just 2.5% YES.

Iran's Foreign Minister meets Oman's Sultan to discuss US conflict. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 2.9% YES.

Lapid and Bennett are forming a joint party to challenge Netanyahu. Netanyahu's exit by June 30 sits at 5.5% YES.

Oman’s Sultan formally recognized Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader. The Iran leadership change by December 31 ...