Karex warns of 30% price hikes due to Iran war supply chain issues. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 1% YES.

Both the June 30 and April 30 markets for the GPT-5.5 release trade at 100% YES. Volume is substantial, with face values of ...

Lapid and Bennett form an alliance to challenge Netanyahu in 2026 elections. Netanyahu out by June 30 at 5.5% YES.

Oman's sultan met with Iran's foreign minister, signaling a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 100% YES, while the ...

UK plans to reopen the Strait of Hormuz with ships and drones for security. Warships transiting by April 30 at 1.2% YES.

Trump calls for Spain's NATO suspension over its Iran war stance. US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 at 0.1% YES.

Nvidia's odds of becoming the largest company by market cap by June 30 have risen to 92.5% YES amid key tech earnings and ...

Shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz remain affected by the conflict, creating direct problems for Iranian pistachio ...

An Israeli soldier was killed in Lebanon, but the ceasefire market remains unchanged with a 100% YES for a ceasefire by June ...

The WTI Crude Oil $160 market is flat despite the geopolitical situation. Odds for WTI hitting $160 hold at 0.4% YES, ...

Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran stall, causing peace deal odds to drop sharply; peace deal by April 30 at 2% YES.

A North Korean state-sponsored group, UNC4736, stole $285 million from crypto platforms in a six-month operation. The market ...