Iran refuses US talks, signaling continued deadlock. Agreement to surrender uranium by April 30, 2026 at 1.8% YES.
Trump’s cancellation of his envoys’ trip to Iran and Tehran’s refusal to negotiate under threat have frozen diplomatic ...
US considers nuclear options as tensions with Iran rise. Odds of no diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 13.5% YES, up from 9% ...
Iran's Foreign Minister visits Pakistan ahead of Moscow talks. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.
Iran's Foreign Minister emphasizes regional alliances over US talks, lowering the chance of a US-Iran meeting by June 30 to ...
US-Iran tensions escalate with predictions of military strikes complicating ceasefire efforts. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, ...
US-Iran nuclear talks collapsed, increasing nuclear strike risks. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 13.5% YES.
The Ethereum Foundation unstaked $48.9M in ETH, raising selling pressure concerns. ETH reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026 ...
Iran war disrupts oil supply, pushing crude to $90 by June. Market for crude oil hitting $90 by June at 67% YES.
Starmer's Labour Party is projected to lose seats in the May 7 UK elections. Starmer out by December 31, 2026 at 71.5% YES.
DeepSeek delays V4 model release to late April, shifting to Chinese chips. Alibaba has best AI model by April 30 at 15% YES.
Iran missile strikes on GCC states raise oil supply concerns. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 1.2% YES.
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