Russia is open to US talks on a Ukraine settlement but offers no new concessions. Ceasefire by May 31, 2026, at 4% YES.

Trump claims division in Iran's leadership. Pahlavi's entry into Iran by June 30 at 6.5% YES, while by December 31 at 15.5% ...

Hedge funds exit U.S. tech stocks, raising doubts about NVIDIA's dominance. Market for NVIDIA as largest company by April 30 ...

Iran accuses the US of violating a ceasefire. Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after April 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Iran appoints hardliner Jalili as lead negotiator for US talks. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 86% YES.

Institutional control of Bitcoin supply rises to over 14% from 8% in 2024. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 ...

Bitcoin approaches $79K with potential for a short squeeze at $81K. Bitcoin reaching $200K by December 31, 2026 at 5% YES.

An armed suspect targeting Trump officials was stopped at the White House Correspondents' Dinner. Cabinet member resignation ...

Nvidia's market cap dominance odds remain steady amid U.S.-Iran tensions and tariffs. Market for Nvidia as largest company by ...

Ghalibaf’s statement comes as the fragile two-week ceasefire nears expiration. The US-Iran peace deal market shows the April ...

The IRGC Quds Force chief promised continued support for Hezbollah, though the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30 market ...

Apple has confirmed John Ternus as the next CEO, succeeding Tim Cook. The Polymarket contract on Ternus becoming CEO by ...