Tim Cook is reportedly passing the foldable iPhone project to John Ternus. Ternus as next Apple CEO at 73% YES.

Iran rejects nuclear limits in ceasefire talks, focusing on sanctions relief. Agreement to end uranium enrichment by April 30 ...

Tanker tracker data shows that 4 million barrels have slipped past the US blockade at the Strait of Hormuz. The odds for ...

Both the June 30 and April 30 markets for the GPT-5.5 release trade at 100% YES. Volume is substantial, with face values of ...

The Guardian reports no progress in US-Iran negotiations. The Israel-Iran permanent peace deal market for April 30 has ...

Inflation is flaring, hiring is slowing, and the Fed is split. The potential impact of Kevin Warsh taking over as Fed Chair ...

US envoys canceled their visit to Islamabad, raising doubts about peace talks. US-Iran peace deal by April 30 drops to 2% YES ...

EgyptAir will resume flights to Riyadh, Doha, and Beirut, a sign of easing Gulf tensions, while the Polymarket contract on an ...

Israeli attacks have killed over 2,500 in Lebanon since March 2026. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is at 100% YES.

With Iran getting oil out despite the blockade, traders are pricing in a more stable supply picture. The crude oil all-time ...

Karex warns of 30% price hikes due to Iran war supply chain issues. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 1% YES.

Hezbollah and Israel escalate attacks, each blaming the other for ceasefire violations. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 at 100% ...