Israel's haredi draft crisis threatens Netanyahu's coalition stability. Netanyahu stepping down by June 30 at 5.5% YES.

Over 600 ships remain stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, lowering traffic normalization odds by May 15 to 13.5% YES.

Bitcoin approaches $80K, risking $2.25B in short liquidations. Bitcoin at $200K by December 31, 2026 priced at 4.9% YES.

The Sultan of Oman met with Iran’s Foreign Minister to discuss regional developments and mediation efforts. The odds of Iran ...

Zelensky calls for an end to Russian nuclear threats on Chornobyl anniversary. Ceasefire by April 30, 2026 at 0.5% YES.

Lebanon's PM criticizes focus on minor issues over Hezbollah disarmament. Ceasefire by June 30, 2026 remains at 100% YES.

US crude exports hit a record 5.2 million barrels per day amid the Iran conflict. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 2.6% ...

Tuvalu faces a fuel crisis due to Strait of Hormuz blockades. US crude oil reserves falling to 325M by May 1 at 2% YES.

The Bitcoin Price Predictions in April market shows traders overwhelmingly betting against a drop to $60,000. Face value trading volume is $456,147, but actual USDC traded is just $219. It takes only ...

Iran war disrupts oil supply, pushing crude to $90 by June. Market for crude oil hitting $90 by June at 67% YES.

The Ethereum Foundation unstaked $48.9M in ETH, raising selling pressure concerns. ETH reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026 ...

Iran's Foreign Minister visits Pakistan ahead of Moscow talks. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 13% YES.