MicroStrategy boosts Bitcoin holdings to 815,061 BTC valued at $63.4B. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 at 4.9% ...

Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran stall, causing peace deal odds to drop sharply; peace deal by April 30 at 2% YES.

Israel deploys Iron Dome and troops to the UAE amid Iran conflict. Iran striking Israel by April 30 at 100% YES.

Iranian diplomat Araghchi may meet US officials, raising the chance of a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 to 13.7% YES.

US-Israeli strikes and a blockade are straining Iran's economy. Odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 8.5% ...

Trump insists on phone-only talks with Iran, making a nuclear deal less likely. Ceasefire by April 30 now at 15% YES.

Sánchez leads by over 24,000 votes in Peru's election, with López Aliaga's odds of winning the presidency now at 1.9% YES.

Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has ended his opposition to Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve chair nomination, removing a procedural ...

Assassination attempt on Trump raises focus on Leavitt's next briefing. 55+ mentions of 'President' at 70% YES.

Trump warns of potential explosions at Iran's oil sites. Agreement on Iranian oil sanction relief by April at 5.5% YES.

Israel escalates military operations in Gaza, sidelining the US-backed administration. Netanyahu's departure by June 30 at ...

Trump refuses to halt military action against Iran, lowering confidence in a peace deal. Peace deal by April 30 at 2% YES.